Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.110530 8.978528 9.924774 11.037069 12.314021 13.740365 15.462790
2025-12-21 6.769032 7.880829 9.174803 10.806141 12.827889 15.277766 18.512144
2025-12-28 6.527819 7.895428 9.569019 11.798611 14.738650 18.552466 23.992413
2026-01-04 6.060585 7.541532 9.423560 12.039446 15.661346 20.625111 28.175568
2026-01-11 5.495196 6.987494 8.939713 11.744414 15.781154 21.565437 30.846910
2026-01-18 5.231587 6.795756 8.901761 12.029948 16.714448 23.746088 35.691346
2026-01-25 4.851454 6.407612 8.550669 11.819278 16.873033 24.753378 38.795769
2026-02-01 4.539727 6.086959 8.262026 11.661368 17.076349 25.830038 42.165644
2026-02-08 4.256196 5.783696 7.970822 11.464974 17.184359 26.743580 45.375083
2026-02-15 3.991279 5.488289 7.667010 11.216973 17.172512 27.435512 48.267081
2026-02-22 3.799826 5.287796 7.489439 11.149659 17.448110 28.654412 52.403293
2026-03-01 3.553241 4.989618 7.141814 10.775448 17.152212 28.785061 54.298047
2026-03-08 3.289169 4.657530 6.731807 10.284553 16.635361 28.498544 55.388162
2026-03-15 3.110167 4.446957 6.501017 10.078865 16.615378 29.175661 58.805052
2026-03-22 3.179270 4.624684 6.900003 10.985343 18.751577 34.478109 74.497935
2026-03-29 3.104416 4.568395 6.910931 11.205103 19.596186 37.228049 84.628775
2026-04-05 2.944184 4.365452 6.664119 10.935894 19.437532 37.752229 88.879829
2026-04-12 2.890573 4.333206 6.703090 11.196438 20.384816 40.931596 101.689991
2026-04-19 2.763163 4.172173 6.510753 11.004221 20.361362 41.822286 107.864690
2026-04-26 2.652506 4.033816 6.349988 10.860086 20.425330 42.936195 115.125172
2026-05-03 2.543593 3.893368 6.177832 10.680754 20.393220 43.805341 121.870250
2026-05-10 2.434305 3.747542 5.988591 10.454190 20.232952 44.322023 127.574173
2026-05-17 2.356456 3.652304 5.885335 10.392672 20.442709 45.856197 137.626115